2030: How Today's Biggest Trends Will Collide and Reshape the Future of Everything
- Downloads：9882
- Type：Epub+TxT+PDF+Mobi
- Create Date：2021-11-27 19:21:10
- Update Date：2025-09-07
- Status：finish
- Author：Mauro F. Guillén
- ISBN：1250268192
- Environment：PC/Android/iPhone/iPad/Kindle
Reviews
Dave
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Dude doesn’t make any bold predictions。 A week bit bookish book- which I annoys me。
Roland
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2030 is a good book， as gives us interesting views， on what the near future could look like。It is well narrated， has a simple structure， language used is not complicated。 So it an easy book to follow。It is a good book for now， but is getting fastly outdated in many aspects。The future is NOT predictable。 The future is not linear， things that are changing all the time:1。 Often the establishment often fight against changes。 See nationalism。2。 We are human， and we are reacting emotionally and rarely 2030 is a good book， as gives us interesting views， on what the near future could look like。It is well narrated， has a simple structure， language used is not complicated。 So it an easy book to follow。It is a good book for now， but is getting fastly outdated in many aspects。The future is NOT predictable。 The future is not linear， things that are changing all the time:1。 Often the establishment often fight against changes。 See nationalism。2。 We are human， and we are reacting emotionally and rarely rationally。3。 Moreover， blackswans can pop out of nowhere， at anytime。 Clocks are reset and future changes dramatically， without anyone expecting it。Also， there is a few times where the author mixed up causation and Correlation。Ie， in one chapter， Mauro， when said that more people invest in index funds， because， there is more women investor。 When， in other book I read （comon sense in investment）， says that it was because the population got older that there is rise in index funds。。。 And there might be other reasons！Anyway， it is a good book， but to me， it is more science fiction， than a real projection of the future。 。。。more
Goran
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2。5 stars
Brad Bevers
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I was excited about reading this one， but felt like it didn't deliver as much as I wanted it too。 The book covers 8 trends that will shape the year 2030， and the author predicts how these different trends will shape the near future。 The first chapter was the best， talking about population trends and the impending boom in Africa。 The next chapter on the aging population shift was good as well， but each chapter after that was more and more unconvincing。 I would recommend reading Radical Abundance I was excited about reading this one， but felt like it didn't deliver as much as I wanted it too。 The book covers 8 trends that will shape the year 2030， and the author predicts how these different trends will shape the near future。 The first chapter was the best， talking about population trends and the impending boom in Africa。 The next chapter on the aging population shift was good as well， but each chapter after that was more and more unconvincing。 I would recommend reading Radical Abundance or The Rational Optimist before this book 。 。 。 it will help you to see a more positive spin on many of things this author brings up。 。。。more
Jonathan Li
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A very good book with some very insightful ideas。 One doesn't have to agree with all of them but the broad range of ideas explored in the book makes it worthwhile reading。 A very good book with some very insightful ideas。 One doesn't have to agree with all of them but the broad range of ideas explored in the book makes it worthwhile reading。 。。。more
Elisabeth
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I feel like this book is already outdated。 Some interesting ideas there， and I never considered that the market trends will follow the biggest populations， so it will be interesting to see over the coming decade whether the market becomes more focused and targeted at Asian and African Market， if that's how the population growth continues。However it being 2021 and nearly 22 i guess i couldn't quite buy many of the predictions the author thought are very likely to happen。 I feel like this book is already outdated。 Some interesting ideas there， and I never considered that the market trends will follow the biggest populations， so it will be interesting to see over the coming decade whether the market becomes more focused and targeted at Asian and African Market， if that's how the population growth continues。However it being 2021 and nearly 22 i guess i couldn't quite buy many of the predictions the author thought are very likely to happen。 。。。more
Joel
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The future will be nothing like the past。 The trick is， the future is now。 That is one of the rules of life。 We all know of somebody， a cancer patient or a diabetic in our midst who was fine， healthy， vibrant even – a routine checkup， perhaps a scratchy throat or a headache that won’t go away and BOOM， the diagnosis。 Stage 4， and then they are gone。 There’s something prophetic about that， things don’t move fast until they do。 History slow rolls like a snowball until gravity takes over。 There is The future will be nothing like the past。 The trick is， the future is now。 That is one of the rules of life。 We all know of somebody， a cancer patient or a diabetic in our midst who was fine， healthy， vibrant even – a routine checkup， perhaps a scratchy throat or a headache that won’t go away and BOOM， the diagnosis。 Stage 4， and then they are gone。 There’s something prophetic about that， things don’t move fast until they do。 History slow rolls like a snowball until gravity takes over。 There is no way to stop an idea whose time has come; there is no way to stop the future that has arrived。There is no way to stop the arriving ordeal。That’s what 2030 is about。 Part of my ongoing effort to read， learn about， document and perhaps prepare for a future that will look nothing like the past。 The comfortable past that was not the norm for very long – maybe 70 years – but that is several generations， enough to think it was eternal。 Permanent。 To be sure not for everybody。 The Russians and the Congolese and the Cambodians did not partake of the Pax Americana。 They were at the edges of empire， not inheritors of the bounty。 It was not their Pax after all， so we shouldn’t feel too guilty。Except that now our Pax is over。 Not in a dramatic “The Vandals are sacking Rome” way， no only in the “the sewers are backed up， there is no chicken in the grocery store， my son is now learning about prejudice and pity and not math or science” way。 The places at the fraying edges of empire hic sunt dracones are moving closer to the epicenter – no longer lost over the map in places with names dark and foreboding like Congo and Orinoco， closer now in names we recognize more。 Chicago， Los Angeles。 Tent cities; political deadlock; disappearing species。Aging populations。 Innovation and AI to try and push aside the humans – we really are a messy lot。 I Robot， here we come。 For the betterment of who？ Robots are not sentient。 Or are they？ Robots cannot enjoy art， cuisine， landscape – or can they？ Of course they cannot。 Jobs are vanishing too; who needs them？ A sharing economy – in Venezuela we call these street hawkers or more politely ‘informal economy’ – in the US they are called the “sharing economy”。 That sounds nicer， doesn’t it？ More socialist。 More pleasant。 More equitable。 One car to go around， and pass the hemp。The future will be nothing like the past。 For my little boy。 He doesn’t know what it was like， before the mayhem exacerbated by COVID and the coming anarchy。He still loves life， because we don’t tell him any different。 But we are the minority。 Not the protected minority。 Not the cherished diverse。 We are the only minority allowed to be despised and reviled。 The faithful。 The grateful。 The responsible。 That is who my son will be， after the ordeal has arrived。 He might weather it well – better than most for sure。 But his ordeal it is; and 2030 is a book about what that ordeal might look like。 。。。more
Francesco De Rossi
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Nel 2030 la società sarà sostanzialmente diversa da quella attuale su vari aspetti。 Il libro identifica questi temi e ne riassume i punti chiavi， a volte in modo semplicistico （non è infatti un libro tecnico e/o di settore）， dando la possibilità al lettore di approfondire。 I temi trattati sono molto interessanti e sono essenziali da conoscere se si vuole parlare di o progettare strategie a lungo termine guardando al futuro。Consigliato a chi non conosce le attuali ricerche e studi sulla società e Nel 2030 la società sarà sostanzialmente diversa da quella attuale su vari aspetti。 Il libro identifica questi temi e ne riassume i punti chiavi， a volte in modo semplicistico （non è infatti un libro tecnico e/o di settore）， dando la possibilità al lettore di approfondire。 I temi trattati sono molto interessanti e sono essenziali da conoscere se si vuole parlare di o progettare strategie a lungo termine guardando al futuro。Consigliato a chi non conosce le attuali ricerche e studi sulla società ed economia futura， in quanto troverà un prezioso riassunto in questo libro 。。。more
Vinod
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Brilliant insights into the future。
Carter
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It is intriguing， how these books are crafted。。。 they perpetuate， a form of modern myth， which I fail to understand。。。 The deification of natural forces， expressed immense power， beyond our collective control。。。 even though such collectives were often quite small。。。 The twin forces， of economics and technology are similar。。。 they have a mythological quality， for most individuals， since the analysis of such things is far beyond the ken of even the best individuals。。。 Yet we must try， in order to It is intriguing， how these books are crafted。。。 they perpetuate， a form of modern myth， which I fail to understand。。。 The deification of natural forces， expressed immense power， beyond our collective control。。。 even though such collectives were often quite small。。。 The twin forces， of economics and technology are similar。。。 they have a mythological quality， for most individuals， since the analysis of such things is far beyond the ken of even the best individuals。。。 Yet we must try， in order to safeguard a collective future。。。 where the collective is far larger。。。 。。。more
Jasmine's
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A study on future events and trends the rise of asia and the down ward trend of the wests power is the main prediction among others。
Jeainny
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I found this book incredibly useful in charting the course of my career。 Technology and our world both seem to change at breakneck speed。 However， this book anchored me to certain inevitable changes， such as the rising use of blockchain， position of women， and climate change。 As a minority woman， it was especially exciting to read Guillen’s optimistic predictions on the higher ratio of non-white races to white people in America alongside the tremendous economic growth of women by 2030。 Overall， I found this book incredibly useful in charting the course of my career。 Technology and our world both seem to change at breakneck speed。 However， this book anchored me to certain inevitable changes， such as the rising use of blockchain， position of women， and climate change。 As a minority woman， it was especially exciting to read Guillen’s optimistic predictions on the higher ratio of non-white races to white people in America alongside the tremendous economic growth of women by 2030。 Overall， this book was both informative and calmed my fears / anxiety about the future。 。。。more
Hiroko
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For me， this book was insightful。 Although the theory may be not original， I enjoyed to think about how I should face the era of after COVID till 2030。
Daniel
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A very good book about future。 Very well documented by statistics about people and trends
Mel
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Really interesting points。 Interesting read and not just doom and gloom， it's actually pretty hopeful and positive。 Really interesting points。 Interesting read and not just doom and gloom， it's actually pretty hopeful and positive。 。。。more
David
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Attempts to learn from the past to apply current trends to the future。 Some interesting theories but also feels like I’ve heard a lot of this before。
Daria
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Great read。 I picked up this book because I'm interested in long term investments and thought it would help inform some areas to look into and consider。 Thought it was well written and informative。 It even had a spot script that covered the current pandemic。 Would recommend。 Great read。 I picked up this book because I'm interested in long term investments and thought it would help inform some areas to look into and consider。 Thought it was well written and informative。 It even had a spot script that covered the current pandemic。 Would recommend。 。。。more
Terri ducay
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After watching an Aspen Institue webinar featuring the author discuss this book， I was intrigued， as his observations about the future were fresh。 The first third of the book stays true to my observations， but the middle becomes muddled with 'know' issues， that is to say， if you read the WSJ， HR， or NYT's regularly。It does brighten up a bit towards the end when cryptocurrency is explored and how the blockchains process will not only impact money but possibly keep track of everything， from laws t After watching an Aspen Institue webinar featuring the author discuss this book， I was intrigued， as his observations about the future were fresh。 The first third of the book stays true to my observations， but the middle becomes muddled with 'know' issues， that is to say， if you read the WSJ， HR， or NYT's regularly。It does brighten up a bit towards the end when cryptocurrency is explored and how the blockchains process will not only impact money but possibly keep track of everything， from laws to ownership of all types of items。 。。。more
Cameron
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Somewhat interesting， but nothing particularly novel。 Also rather offensive in the generalisation of millenials and having a boomer tell them what they want。 Obviously millenials prefer to to have unstable work and be exploited in the gig economy。。。 It's so hip and trendy！！ *sarcasm alert* Somewhat interesting， but nothing particularly novel。 Also rather offensive in the generalisation of millenials and having a boomer tell them what they want。 Obviously millenials prefer to to have unstable work and be exploited in the gig economy。。。 It's so hip and trendy！！ *sarcasm alert* 。。。more
Teresa
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Very interesting and future perspectives。 Table of contentsTitleCopyrightContentsSome Facts and FiguresIntroduction: The Clock Is Ticking1: Follow the Babies2: Gray Is the New Black3: Keeping Up with the Singhs and the Wangs4: Second Sex No More？5: Cities Drown First6: More Cellphones than Toilets7: Imagine No Possessions8: More Currencies than CountriesConclusion: Lateral Tips and Tricks to Survive 2030PostscriptAcknowledgmentsSources
Jon Gunnar
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Economical book， fun facts but becomes dry and way too long。
MARGO
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er
Daniel
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well researched and interesting outlooks for the future。
John Strohm
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An insult to your intelligence。It's a typical ivory tower book。 Take the example of immigration: honest researchers know that while immigration is a net positive for a country， there are some sigifícant negative impacts， and those tend to be localized in certain areas and population segments。 Guillen acts like you are a bad person if you say anything negative about immigration。He's also not as profound as he thinks。 "Asian consumers will drive tastes。" Uh， they already so。 Italian lipstick maker An insult to your intelligence。It's a typical ivory tower book。 Take the example of immigration: honest researchers know that while immigration is a net positive for a country， there are some sigifícant negative impacts， and those tend to be localized in certain areas and population segments。 Guillen acts like you are a bad person if you say anything negative about immigration。He's also not as profound as he thinks。 "Asian consumers will drive tastes。" Uh， they already so。 Italian lipstick makers make a lot more for the Asian market today than the Western market。 Movies are self censored so they can do well in China。Read an issue or two of the Economist and you'll learn more than in this book。 。。。more
Craig Wanderer
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I like his use of facts and numbers to put forth a realistic picture of what our future will look like in 2030。 There is no peering into a crystal ball， just the use of Socio-Economic Trends to make what should be an accurate prediction。 "Cities may turn to produce the feed their growing population， thus becoming green islands， instead of heat islands" "Vertical farming involves growing food inside a building two stories high or taller" Well done， not at all what I expected out of this book but I like his use of facts and numbers to put forth a realistic picture of what our future will look like in 2030。 There is no peering into a crystal ball， just the use of Socio-Economic Trends to make what should be an accurate prediction。 "Cities may turn to produce the feed their growing population， thus becoming green islands， instead of heat islands" "Vertical farming involves growing food inside a building two stories high or taller" Well done， not at all what I expected out of this book but I found it thoroughly enjoyable and a must read。 。。。more
Kristinn Hróbjartsson
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Ideas and concepts that feel recycled， shallow and based on ad hoc anecdotes。
Leslie
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I enjoy reading books that predict future trends and speculate about the future。 Are his predictions plausible？ Sure they are。 But most or many probably will not happen。 One big disrupter will send everything spiraling in a different direction。Ten years ago I could not have predicted most of what is happening today。 For example， I knew that social media would be still be around in some form or other， but could not have predicted the influence it would have。 And then you have the unpredictable， l I enjoy reading books that predict future trends and speculate about the future。 Are his predictions plausible？ Sure they are。 But most or many probably will not happen。 One big disrupter will send everything spiraling in a different direction。Ten years ago I could not have predicted most of what is happening today。 For example， I knew that social media would be still be around in some form or other， but could not have predicted the influence it would have。 And then you have the unpredictable， like a pandemic。What I like about this book is that it makes me think and plan for the future。 。。。more
Austin Gaghadar
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This book is effective in highlighting what is happening in the world today and laying out the logic for the impact that this may have and why。 Beyond simply discussing the trends the lens of lateral thinking， engaging with the confluence of the different trends， the collision， is a very important aspect of any discussion of the future。 However at times these connections could have been explored in more depth， with a greater acknowledgement of the ambiguity inherent in such a task。 The author al This book is effective in highlighting what is happening in the world today and laying out the logic for the impact that this may have and why。 Beyond simply discussing the trends the lens of lateral thinking， engaging with the confluence of the different trends， the collision， is a very important aspect of any discussion of the future。 However at times these connections could have been explored in more depth， with a greater acknowledgement of the ambiguity inherent in such a task。 The author also does a good job at using data to buttress the theories being advanced。 However， the long lists of summary statistics was often easy to glaze over。 It would have improved my reading experience if there was more depth taken to discussing some of the point rather than just a list of statistics， to add to the memorability and impact of the figures being used。 There also could have been more discussion of the practical implications for how to respond to these disruptive forces。 Overall this book provided an interesting perspective on where the world may be heading， providing a helpful focal point to consider many of the most significant current issues and ponder their effects on a global scale。 。。。more
Raza Mustafa
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Some really interesting ideas on how the current demographic， economic and technological trends， and climate change will shape the word in 2030。
Soare Corina
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